← GaN Supercycle: Physics, supply chain sovereignty, and the AI compute forcing function
Echo Chamber
AI Summary: The GaN adoption surge and AI workload expansion will drive significant cost savings, benefiting companies like Navitas Semiconductor. China's gallium export rules further boost non-Chinese producers.
Elijah W
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The China gallium restriction angle is underpriced by most retail holders. This isn't speculative geopolitics. The export controls are already in place and tightening. FPLSF being the only meaningful non-China high-purity gallium supplier in the Western supply chain is a real and documented position. The market hasn't priced in what happens when hyperscalers are legally or politically blocked from Chinese gallium.
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